Price the number, not the direction · Private beta, Arbitrum Sepolia

Closer pays more.

Prediction markets pay you for picking a side. Skepsis pays you for how close you land.

Access granted in waves. Chainlink-resolved · solvent on every trade · Arbitrum.

BTC · CLOSE · JUN 30Chainlink BTC/USD
1 of 8 · at uniform prior
drag to set your range
drag to set your range · payoff = N / k · at uniform prior

A wider range pays 2 times, a tighter range pays up to 8 times.

Live on Arbitrum Sepolia

Range, time, and options markets on the numbers you already track.

One pool

One vault behind every market.

No dead pools. A single vault funds every market and redeploys the moment one resolves. A market that opened an hour ago draws on the same liquidity as the one that just settled.

01 / Deposit
LPs deposit USDC once.
02 / Deploy
The vault funds every live market.
03 / Recycle
Capital returns the moment a market resolves.

ERC-4626 · solvent on every trade · capital never idle.

Take a position on the number.

Private beta on Arbitrum Sepolia. Access granted in waves.

Chainlink-resolved · solvent on every trade · Arbitrum.