Binary market: 1.3x. Skepsis: 14x.
Same prediction.
Prediction markets that pay for precision, not just direction.
Same prediction. Different payout.
Polymarket rewards direction. Skepsis rewards precision.
Payout depends on how many people bet on the same range. Popular ranges cost more. Neglected ranges are cheap. Your edge is precision.
How it works
From sign-up to your first range bet in under a minute. No wallet extension needed — sign in with email.
Pick a market
"Where will BTC be at end of Q2?" Browse active markets and find one where you have a view.
Select your range
See your odds & confirm
One pool. Every market.
On most prediction markets, liquidity is split across hundreds of separate pools. A new market launches with nothing. An LP has to guess which markets will get volume.
Skepsis uses a single shared vault. Every market draws from the same pool. New markets launch funded. Resolved markets return capital. Your deposit is always working.
What this means for traders
- Every market has real liquidity from second one
- No dead markets, no waiting for LPs to show up
- Tight prices because the pool is shared, not split across hundreds of markets
What this means for LPs
- Deposit once, earn from every market
- Capital auto-redeploys — resolved markets return funds to active ones
- Yield comes from the spread between what traders pay in and what winners claim
- Solvency enforced per-trade, on-chain. The pool always covers the max payout.
For Liquidity Providers
Earn yield by powering every market.
Deposit USDC into the vault. The vault seeds liquidity across every market. No position management. No impermanent loss. No volatile token.
USDC in, USDC out
No token exposure. Deposit USDC, earn yield in USDC. Clear dollar-denominated returns.
Passive market making
The vault seeds liquidity across all markets. When markets resolve, the spread flows back as LP profit.
Solvency enforced per-trade
Every single trade validates that the pool can cover the maximum possible payout. On-chain, not a promise.
ERC-4626 standard vault
Standard interface. Withdraw anytime — if capital is deployed, withdrawals queue and process as funds return.
Built on math, not trust.
Every claim below is verifiable on-chain. No hype, just how it works.
Solvency guarantee
Every trade validates that the pool can pay the maximum possible winner. Enforced in the smart contract on every single transaction. Not a promise — math.
Unified liquidity
One vault, every market. No fragmentation, no dead markets. New markets launch funded from the shared pool. Capital is always working.
USDC denominated
All bets, all payouts, all LP deposits in USDC. No volatile token. Clear dollar-denominated P&L on every position.
On-chain pricing
Prices adjust automatically with demand. No orderbook, no counterparty, no manipulation. Popular ranges cost more, neglected ranges are cheap.
Working product on testnet
Not a whitepaper. Not a concept. A working prediction market you can try right now with free test USDC. Place a bet in under a minute.
Common questions
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